How much did YOUR vote count? Because of the Electoral College,
a vote from Wyoming is worth 3.8 times as much as a vote from California.
This table shows a state by state comparison of the power of each vote. The column on the right
represents how much a vote is worth, compared to how much it would be worth
if all votes were treated equally. Note, if the United States simply used the Popular Vote
to decide elections, all the numbers in the right column would be "1.00".
| State |
Population |
Electors |
People Per Elector |
Vote Power |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Wyoming |
479602 |
3 |
159867 |
3.17 |
| D.C |
519000 |
3 |
173000 |
2.93 |
| Vermont |
593740 |
3 |
197913 |
2.56 |
| Alaska |
619500 |
3 |
206500 |
2.45 |
| North Dakota |
633666 |
3 |
211222 |
2.40 |
| South Dakota |
733133 |
3 |
244378 |
2.07 |
| Rhode Island |
990819 |
4 |
247705 |
2.05 |
| Delaware |
753538 |
3 |
251179 |
2.02 |
| Montana |
882779 |
3 |
294260 |
1.72 |
| Hawaii |
1185497 |
4 |
296374 |
1.71 |
| New Hampshire |
1201134 |
4 |
300284 |
1.69 |
| Idaho |
1251700 |
4 |
312925 |
1.62 |
| Maine |
1253040 |
4 |
313260 |
1.62 |
| Nebraska |
1666028 |
5 |
333206 |
1.52 |
| New Mexico |
1739844 |
5 |
347969 |
1.46 |
| West Virginia |
1806928 |
5 |
361386 |
1.40 |
| Mississippi |
2768619 |
7 |
395517 |
1.28 |
| Iowa |
2869413 |
7 |
409916 |
1.24 |
| Connecticut |
3282031 |
8 |
410254 |
1.24 |
| Oklahoma |
3358044 |
8 |
419756 |
1.21 |
| Arkansas |
2551373 |
6 |
425229 |
1.19 |
| Utah |
2129836 |
5 |
425967 |
1.19 |
| Kansas |
2654052 |
6 |
442342 |
1.15 |
| Nevada |
1809253 |
4 |
452313 |
1.12 |
| Oregon |
3316154 |
7 |
473736 |
1.07 |
| Wisconsin |
5250446 |
11 |
477313 |
1.06 |
| Minnesota |
4775508 |
10 |
477551 |
1.06 |
| Alabama |
4369862 |
9 |
485540 |
1.04 |
| South Carolina |
3885736 |
8 |
485717 |
1.04 |
| Louisiana |
4372035 |
9 |
485781 |
1.04 |
| Kentucky |
3960825 |
8 |
495103 |
1.02 |
| Indiana |
5942901 |
12 |
495242 |
1.02 |
| Missouri |
5468338 |
11 |
497121 |
1.02 |
| Tennessee |
5483535 |
11 |
498503 |
1.02 |
| Colorado |
4056133 |
8 |
507017 |
1.00 |
| Massachusetts |
6175169 |
12 |
514597 |
0.98 |
| Maryland |
5171634 |
10 |
517163 |
0.98 |
| Pennsylvania |
11994016 |
23 |
521479 |
0.97 |
| Washington |
5756361 |
11 |
523306 |
0.97 |
| Virginia |
6872912 |
13 |
528686 |
0.96 |
| Ohio |
11256654 |
21 |
536031 |
0.95 |
| New Jersey |
8143412 |
15 |
542894 |
0.93 |
| North Carolina |
7650789 |
14 |
546485 |
0.93 |
| Michigan |
9863775 |
18 |
547988 |
0.92 |
| Illinois |
12128370 |
22 |
551290 |
0.92 |
| New York |
18196601 |
33 |
551412 |
0.92 |
| Arizona |
4778332 |
8 |
597292 |
0.85 |
| Georgia |
7788240 |
13 |
599095 |
0.85 |
| Florida |
15111244 |
25 |
604450 |
0.84 |
| California |
33145121 |
54 |
613796 |
0.83 |
| Texas |
20044141 |
32 |
626379 |
0.81 |
The way the "vote power" column was calculated is as follows. The United States has a population
of 272,690,813. (Population numbers are taken from the US Census 1999 estimate, from
this page.)
Since there are 538 Electors in the Electoral College, the average Elector represents
about 506,860. The large (in population) states are given approximately about as many Electors
as is proportionate to their population. However, the smaller states are given up to 3 times
as many Electors as they should get if they were handed out proportionately to their population.
If you divide they average number of People Per Elector (506,860) by the People Per Elector from a
particular state, you get the number of effective votes per person for that state.
For example, from Wyoming, divide 506,860 by 159,867 and you see that a vote from
Wyoming is worth about
3.17 times as much as the average American's vote.
An alternate way to do the calculation would be to divide the percent of the Electoral Vote
the state takes up by the percent of the national population it takes up. Wyoming makes up
3/538 of the Electoral College, or about 0.558%. However, it only makes up (479,602 / 272,690,813)
= 0.176% of the national vote. Divide those two numbers and you see that Wyoming's voters
count (0.558% / 0.176%) =
3.17 times as much as they should if all votes were treated equally.
Either way you do the calculation, you should get the same answer.
Is this fair?
Is it fair that 0.176% of the population (Wyoming) gets 0.558% voting power of who gets to be the next president?
Or how about the people of California, who make up 12% of the country, but only get 10% of the Electoral Votes?
Winning the Popular Vote by 13% and still losing the election
Based on the fact that the Electoral College makes some Americans' votes
more than others (votes from smaller states are generally worth more than
votes from larger states), it is possible for one Candidate A
to get 56.5% of the popular vote and still lose to Candidate B, who only got 43.5%.
Let's say Candidate A wins eleven of the most populous states:
Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois,
Florida, New York, Texas, and California. These states represent 56.5% of the population
(154,051,863 people), but only 268 Electoral College votes. Candidate B wins the rest of
the states (including D.C.), which represent 43.5% of the population (118,638,950 people)
and 270 Electoral College votes, giving him (or her) the election.
Candidate A -
56.5% of popular vote,
268 Electoral Votes
Candidate B -
43.5% of popular vote,
270 Electoral Votes
Is it fair that someone could win the Popular Vote by a 13% margin and still lose the election?
Even Worse: Winning the Popular Vote by 56.5% and still losing the election
If we take into account that each state gives ALL of their Electoral Votes to a single candidate,
even when he wins by a single vote, things get even worse. If Candidate B won Wyoming by a single vote
(239,801 to 239,800) he would still get all 3 of Wyoming's Electors. Assuming this happened in all of
Candidate B's states (winning each one by 50.001%), and assuming Candidate A won all of his states
100% to nothing, the margin gets a lot bigger. Candidate A could get 78.25% of the Popular Vote
and still lose, compared to Candidate B's only 21.75%.
Candidate A -
78.25% of popular vote,
268 Electoral Votes
Candidate B -
21.75% of popular vote,
270 Electoral Votes
Does it seem fair that someone could win the Popular Vote by a 56.5% margin and
still lose the election? Candidate A could get more than
THREE TIMES as many
popular votes as Candidate B and still LOSE the election.
Does this seem like equal protection under the law?
Election 2000
Right now Gore leads by over 250,000 votes in the Popular Vote, but Bush could win
the Electoral Vote if Florida goes his way. In the example above, the candidate who won
by 56.5% of the Popular Vote still lost the election. With Candidate B winning
even though the popular vote was 21.75% to 78.25%, THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE was CLEARLY
disregarded. The votes of the extra 56.5% of the population who voted for Candidate A
were not heard because of the unfair way the votes are counted into the Electoral College.
Those voters were cheated, and their votes were not treated fairly.
While not nearly as extreme as this example, the extra 250,000 people (about 1% of the population)
who voted for Gore were also cheated, because their votes were not treated equally. Not unless the votes
are given equal power, and every American voter is given equal protection under the law,
is the will of the people honored.
This Electoral College analysis was done by
Robert Glen.