Tuesday, April 12, 2016
SEIU reportedly spent millions on minimum wage initiative as enrollment drops
The Service Employees International Union is believed to have spent
$20 million on its campaign to have the minimum wage raised to $15 last
year, according to a new report.
The report by the Center for Union Facts, a watchdog group, says that the new figure is in addition to the $50 million already spent since 2012. The numbers come from the 2015 financial disclosures released by the SEIU that were was analyzed by the CUF.
What the CUF discovered was that a majority of the $20 million spent for the “Fight for 15” campaign last year went to various organizing committees and that the powerhouse union was likely spending even more, due to staff salaries, legal services and money paid to minimum wage advocacy groups such as the National Employment Law Project (NELP) and the Economic Policy Institute (EcPI).
“While the SEIU has made some headway in its push for a job-killing $15 minimum wage, working Americans appear to be sending a clear message to SEIU big spenders: ‘Find a way to create jobs rather than diminishing them.’" CUF Executive Director Richard Berman said in a statement. “The $15 campaign may generate some legislative wins, but even former SEIU boss Andy Stern has acknowledged that this big-spending strategy isn't sustainable."
The $70 million figure since 2012 is close to estimates from November, when it was believed that the SEIU had spent $80 million since 2012—a low cost compared to the potential of revenue it stands to make from unionizing fast food workers.
Unionizing just a third of the nation’s estimated 3.6 million fast-food workers could bring in more than $400 million per year in dues to the SEIU, according to one estimate at the time.
In order to woo potential union members, the SEIU financially backed the “Fight for 15” movement, which was presented in some areas as a grassroots initiative for struggling fast food workers and activists.
“The SEIU is sponsoring ‘Fight for 15’ to do its dirty work,” Jared Meyer, a fellow at the Manhattan Institute for Public Policy Research, told FoxNews.com last November.
The fast food industry has long been coveted for
unionization. Experts say that previous efforts to organize have
stumbled in part because of the high-turnover rate and reliance on young
and part-time workers who do not see the value in paying union dues.
A vast majority of fast-food workers also do not see their current jobs as a full-time career, in contrast to workers in other industries such as manufacturing or education, say experts.
The SEIU’s efforts, however, may be for naught.
As their spending has increased, their numbers have been dwindling, losing 6,000 members in 2015 alone, according to the CUF.
That figure is on top of membership numbers that have consistently dropped for the past five years.
The newest filing shows that the SEIU claimed 1,921,786 union members in 2011, the year prior to the start of the Fight for $15--almost 34,000 more than it had in 2015.
The report by the Center for Union Facts, a watchdog group, says that the new figure is in addition to the $50 million already spent since 2012. The numbers come from the 2015 financial disclosures released by the SEIU that were was analyzed by the CUF.
What the CUF discovered was that a majority of the $20 million spent for the “Fight for 15” campaign last year went to various organizing committees and that the powerhouse union was likely spending even more, due to staff salaries, legal services and money paid to minimum wage advocacy groups such as the National Employment Law Project (NELP) and the Economic Policy Institute (EcPI).
“While the SEIU has made some headway in its push for a job-killing $15 minimum wage, working Americans appear to be sending a clear message to SEIU big spenders: ‘Find a way to create jobs rather than diminishing them.’" CUF Executive Director Richard Berman said in a statement. “The $15 campaign may generate some legislative wins, but even former SEIU boss Andy Stern has acknowledged that this big-spending strategy isn't sustainable."
The $70 million figure since 2012 is close to estimates from November, when it was believed that the SEIU had spent $80 million since 2012—a low cost compared to the potential of revenue it stands to make from unionizing fast food workers.
Unionizing just a third of the nation’s estimated 3.6 million fast-food workers could bring in more than $400 million per year in dues to the SEIU, according to one estimate at the time.
In order to woo potential union members, the SEIU financially backed the “Fight for 15” movement, which was presented in some areas as a grassroots initiative for struggling fast food workers and activists.
“The SEIU is sponsoring ‘Fight for 15’ to do its dirty work,” Jared Meyer, a fellow at the Manhattan Institute for Public Policy Research, told FoxNews.com last November.
Related Image
Expand / Contract
Much of the SEIU spinoff campaign's fight has been waged against fast-food giant McDonald's. (AP)
A vast majority of fast-food workers also do not see their current jobs as a full-time career, in contrast to workers in other industries such as manufacturing or education, say experts.
The SEIU’s efforts, however, may be for naught.
As their spending has increased, their numbers have been dwindling, losing 6,000 members in 2015 alone, according to the CUF.
That figure is on top of membership numbers that have consistently dropped for the past five years.
The newest filing shows that the SEIU claimed 1,921,786 union members in 2011, the year prior to the start of the Fight for $15--almost 34,000 more than it had in 2015.
Hillary Clinton, NYC Mayor De Blasio draw criticism over racially-tinged joke at charity dinner
New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio and Democratic presidential
front-runner Hillary Clinton were forced to defend a joke made by the
mayor at a charity dinner that critics considered racially offensive.
The incident occurred Saturday night, when Clinton and De Blasio took part in a skit at the Inner Circle dinner, a black-tie event in which New York City's political press corps and politicians spend the evening making fun of each other.
Clinton took the stage ostensibly to thank De Blasio, a former aide, for his belated endorsement of her for the Democratic nomination.
"Took you long enough," Clinton said.
De Blasio responded, "Sorry, Hillary. I was running on C.P. time." The phrase, popular in pop culture, is a reference to the stereotype that African-Americans are typically late for appointments.
Broadway actor Leslie Odom Jr., who was also on stage with Clinton and De Blasio and appeared to be in on the joke, said, "That's not - I don't like jokes about that, Bill."
Clinton then turned to Odom and delivered the punch line, "Cautious Politician Time. I've been there."
The exchange takes place at the 8:30 mark of this video, posted on the NYC Mayor's Office YouTube channel.
 
The joke was widely criticized in the media, with New York magazine calling it "amazingly unfunny, terribly executed". Left-leaning website Salon called it "cringeworthy", as did The Root, which bills itself as a site for "Black News, Opinion, Politics, and Culture."
The skit came at an awkward time for Clinton, who has ridden strong African-American support to several wins in key primary states but has also been criticized by some for using the term "superpredator" during her husband's administration to describe criminals.
Last week, former President Bill Clinton clashed with Black Lives Matter activist and defending his criminal justice policies at an appearance in Pennsylvania. Hours before her Inner Circle appearance, Hillary Clinton told the New York Daily News that she also agreed with critics who say the bill contributed to high levels of incarceration for non-violent crimes, like drug offenses.
De Blasio told CNN Monday evening that critics of the skit were "missing the point."
It was clearly a staged show. It was a scripted show and the whole idea was to do the counter intuitive and say 'cautious politician time,'" he said. "Every actor involved, including Hillary Clinton and Leslie Odom Jr., thought it was a joke on a different convention."
A Clinton spokesman said in a statement to ABC News, "We agree with the mayor."
The incident occurred Saturday night, when Clinton and De Blasio took part in a skit at the Inner Circle dinner, a black-tie event in which New York City's political press corps and politicians spend the evening making fun of each other.
Clinton took the stage ostensibly to thank De Blasio, a former aide, for his belated endorsement of her for the Democratic nomination.
"Took you long enough," Clinton said.
De Blasio responded, "Sorry, Hillary. I was running on C.P. time." The phrase, popular in pop culture, is a reference to the stereotype that African-Americans are typically late for appointments.
Broadway actor Leslie Odom Jr., who was also on stage with Clinton and De Blasio and appeared to be in on the joke, said, "That's not - I don't like jokes about that, Bill."
The latest headlines on the 2016 elections from the biggest name in politics. See Latest Coverage →
The exchange takes place at the 8:30 mark of this video, posted on the NYC Mayor's Office YouTube channel.
 
The joke was widely criticized in the media, with New York magazine calling it "amazingly unfunny, terribly executed". Left-leaning website Salon called it "cringeworthy", as did The Root, which bills itself as a site for "Black News, Opinion, Politics, and Culture."
The skit came at an awkward time for Clinton, who has ridden strong African-American support to several wins in key primary states but has also been criticized by some for using the term "superpredator" during her husband's administration to describe criminals.
Last week, former President Bill Clinton clashed with Black Lives Matter activist and defending his criminal justice policies at an appearance in Pennsylvania. Hours before her Inner Circle appearance, Hillary Clinton told the New York Daily News that she also agreed with critics who say the bill contributed to high levels of incarceration for non-violent crimes, like drug offenses.
De Blasio told CNN Monday evening that critics of the skit were "missing the point."
It was clearly a staged show. It was a scripted show and the whole idea was to do the counter intuitive and say 'cautious politician time,'" he said. "Every actor involved, including Hillary Clinton and Leslie Odom Jr., thought it was a joke on a different convention."
A Clinton spokesman said in a statement to ABC News, "We agree with the mayor."
Delegate disruption: Shenanigans fuel Trump's case that the system is rigged
Donald Trump says that what happened in Colorado is “crooked.”
That’s not quite right, but it sure seems undemocratic.
And it reeks of the kinds of insider politics that has caused widespread disgust with both parties.
I say both parties because, as Trump noted, Bernie Sanders is also getting hosed on the Democratic side.
I’ve been concerned in the last few days that the media’s coverage of the presidential race is getting down into the weeds. The issues have mostly been drowned out, and even the state-by-state contests have been overshadowed by endless chatter about delegate math and party procedures. This is the stuff that media and political junkies crave but that civilians start to find incomprehensible.
But people get it in their gut when someone is getting screwed.
Primaries are the fairest way of picking a nominee.
Caucuses are more time-consuming and complicated (although at least
folks get to vote). And then there are states like Colorado.
In March, Colorado held caucuses to pick delegates to a bunch of assemblies and conventions. And those people picked their favorite candidate. Ted Cruz won them all because his people outhustled an error-riddled effort by the Trump camp, and perhaps because the kind of party insiders elected to these gatherings don’t like Donald Trump. (Yes, Cruz is a hardly an establishment figure, but he’s become the most viable alternative for the GOP’s stop-Trump crowd.)
"The people out there are going crazy,” Trump told “Fox & Friends” yesterday. “They’re going absolutely crazy because they weren’t given a vote.”
National Review’s Jim Geraghty is unsympathetic, saying: “The evidence is mounting that yes, indeed, Trump really is being poorly served by his staff, as his campaign seems to get blindsided by existing rules week after week.”
But the whole point of Trump’s candidacy is not to play the game created by political hacks. Rather, he wants to beat them at their own game.
Yet all this is unfolding before we even get to Cleveland, where some delegates may declare themselves to be unbound and all kinds of shenanigans may take place as the candidates try to woo and even pressure their way to 1,237.
It doesn’t help matters when Trump’s new convention manager, Paul Manafort, accuses the Cruz camp of “Gestapo” tactics. Can we lay off the Nazi analogies, please? John Kasich, with milder language, accused the Cruz team of using strong-arm tactics in Michigan. This fracas has been heating up by the day.
On the Democratic side, Sanders won Wyoming over the weekend, but he and Hillary Clinton are getting seven delegates each. Kind of makes you wonder: what’s the point of voting?
The system of Democratic superdelegates, created to avoid another McGovern-style wipeout, is a huge insurance policy for Hillary. It almost guarantees the party a veto over insurgent candidates.
Democracy can be messy, we all get that. And there is a fine line between complaining about complicated rules and appearing to be whining.
But this is turning into a huge PR problem. And the appearance that the game is rigged will only boost the outsider candidates and fuel public distrust in both political parties.
That’s not quite right, but it sure seems undemocratic.
And it reeks of the kinds of insider politics that has caused widespread disgust with both parties.
I say both parties because, as Trump noted, Bernie Sanders is also getting hosed on the Democratic side.
I’ve been concerned in the last few days that the media’s coverage of the presidential race is getting down into the weeds. The issues have mostly been drowned out, and even the state-by-state contests have been overshadowed by endless chatter about delegate math and party procedures. This is the stuff that media and political junkies crave but that civilians start to find incomprehensible.
But people get it in their gut when someone is getting screwed.
The latest headlines on the 2016 elections from the biggest name in politics. See Latest Coverage →
In March, Colorado held caucuses to pick delegates to a bunch of assemblies and conventions. And those people picked their favorite candidate. Ted Cruz won them all because his people outhustled an error-riddled effort by the Trump camp, and perhaps because the kind of party insiders elected to these gatherings don’t like Donald Trump. (Yes, Cruz is a hardly an establishment figure, but he’s become the most viable alternative for the GOP’s stop-Trump crowd.)
"The people out there are going crazy,” Trump told “Fox & Friends” yesterday. “They’re going absolutely crazy because they weren’t given a vote.”
National Review’s Jim Geraghty is unsympathetic, saying: “The evidence is mounting that yes, indeed, Trump really is being poorly served by his staff, as his campaign seems to get blindsided by existing rules week after week.”
But the whole point of Trump’s candidacy is not to play the game created by political hacks. Rather, he wants to beat them at their own game.
Yet all this is unfolding before we even get to Cleveland, where some delegates may declare themselves to be unbound and all kinds of shenanigans may take place as the candidates try to woo and even pressure their way to 1,237.
It doesn’t help matters when Trump’s new convention manager, Paul Manafort, accuses the Cruz camp of “Gestapo” tactics. Can we lay off the Nazi analogies, please? John Kasich, with milder language, accused the Cruz team of using strong-arm tactics in Michigan. This fracas has been heating up by the day.
On the Democratic side, Sanders won Wyoming over the weekend, but he and Hillary Clinton are getting seven delegates each. Kind of makes you wonder: what’s the point of voting?
The system of Democratic superdelegates, created to avoid another McGovern-style wipeout, is a huge insurance policy for Hillary. It almost guarantees the party a veto over insurgent candidates.
Democracy can be messy, we all get that. And there is a fine line between complaining about complicated rules and appearing to be whining.
But this is turning into a huge PR problem. And the appearance that the game is rigged will only boost the outsider candidates and fuel public distrust in both political parties.
Ted Cruz says Trump 'whining' over GOP nominating process
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz waded into the controversy over the Republican
party's nominating process Monday, accusing his rival for the GOP
nomination, Donald Trump, of "whining" over Cruz's sweep of Colorado's
delegates for this summer's Republican National Convention in
Cleveland.
"Donald has been yelling and screaming. A lot of whining. I'm sure some cursing. And some late-night fevered tweeting," Cruz told hundreds of supporters in Irvine, Calif.
Cruz went after Trump again at an appearance in San Diego, saying, "As we know in the state of California, whine is something best served with cheese."
Addressing the real estate mogul directly, Cruz then said, "Donald, it ain't stealing when the voters vote against you. It is the voters reclaiming this country and reclaiming sanity."
Trump has repeatedly blasted Colorado's Republican leadership since this weekend's state convention, and did so again Monday at a rally in Albany, N.Y., calling Cruz's win "a total fix."
"There’s so much - the people all wanted to vote. They took away their votes," Trump said. "I think it’s going to come back to haunt them because people aren’t going take it anymore. We’re not going to take it anymore. It’s a corrupt system. It’s a totally corrupt, rigged system."
Cruz noted that Trump's complaints follow his
struggles in recent primary contests in Utah, North Dakota, Wisconsin
and Colorado. He also took to social media to drive home the point.
Trump tied the Colorado controversy to next week's New York primary, where polls show him holding a big lead over Cruz and Ohio Gov. John Kasich.
"You’re going to go out and vote … well, we found out in Colorado it's not a democracy like we thought and we're not going to have a rigged election," Trump said.
Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus pushed back against Trump's claims Monday, telling conservative radio host Mike Gallagher in an interview that the convention system used in Colorado is "not an affront to the people of Colorado. It just is what the rule is."
"I don't know why a majority is such a difficult concept for some people to accept," Priebus said.
Colorado isn't the only delegate battleground between Trump and Cruz. Trump won the popular vote in Louisiana's early March primary by three percentage points but the close result gave both candidates the same amount of delegates.
"I end up winning Louisiana and then when everything is done, I find out I get less delegates than this guy that got his ass kicked”, Trump said Monday.
The top two in the Republican party delegate race are not only seeking votes, but are also looking to outmaneuver each other in state gatherings where the delegates who will attend the summer convention are being chosen. Cruz's campaign has implemented a more strategic approach to picking up delegates, which, despite Trump's current lead, are essential if he wants to reach the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination.
"Donald has been yelling and screaming. A lot of whining. I'm sure some cursing. And some late-night fevered tweeting," Cruz told hundreds of supporters in Irvine, Calif.
Cruz went after Trump again at an appearance in San Diego, saying, "As we know in the state of California, whine is something best served with cheese."
Addressing the real estate mogul directly, Cruz then said, "Donald, it ain't stealing when the voters vote against you. It is the voters reclaiming this country and reclaiming sanity."
Trump has repeatedly blasted Colorado's Republican leadership since this weekend's state convention, and did so again Monday at a rally in Albany, N.Y., calling Cruz's win "a total fix."
"There’s so much - the people all wanted to vote. They took away their votes," Trump said. "I think it’s going to come back to haunt them because people aren’t going take it anymore. We’re not going to take it anymore. It’s a corrupt system. It’s a totally corrupt, rigged system."
The latest headlines on the 2016 elections from the biggest name in politics. See Latest Coverage →
Trump tied the Colorado controversy to next week's New York primary, where polls show him holding a big lead over Cruz and Ohio Gov. John Kasich.
"You’re going to go out and vote … well, we found out in Colorado it's not a democracy like we thought and we're not going to have a rigged election," Trump said.
Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus pushed back against Trump's claims Monday, telling conservative radio host Mike Gallagher in an interview that the convention system used in Colorado is "not an affront to the people of Colorado. It just is what the rule is."
"I don't know why a majority is such a difficult concept for some people to accept," Priebus said.
Colorado isn't the only delegate battleground between Trump and Cruz. Trump won the popular vote in Louisiana's early March primary by three percentage points but the close result gave both candidates the same amount of delegates.
"I end up winning Louisiana and then when everything is done, I find out I get less delegates than this guy that got his ass kicked”, Trump said Monday.
The top two in the Republican party delegate race are not only seeking votes, but are also looking to outmaneuver each other in state gatherings where the delegates who will attend the summer convention are being chosen. Cruz's campaign has implemented a more strategic approach to picking up delegates, which, despite Trump's current lead, are essential if he wants to reach the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination.
Monday, April 11, 2016
Obama vows no influence in Clinton email probe, defends terror fight | Fox News
President
Obama repeatedly vowed there would be no political influence over the
Justice Department’s investigation into Hillary Clinton’s use of a
private email server while secretary of state -- in a wide-ranging
interview with “Fox News Sunday” in which he also ardently defended his
efforts to defeat the Islamic State and other terror groups amid
criticism about his perceived indifference.
“I guarantee that there is no political influence in any investigation conducted by the Justice Department, or the FBI, not just in this case, but in any case,” Obama said.” “Nobody is above the law. How many times do I have to say it?”
His remarks came less than three months after White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest publicly downplayed a possible indictment for Clinton.
Obama praised Clinton’s tenure running the State Department from 2009 to 2013 and said he still doesn’t think the emails to and from her private server breached national security.
However, he acknowledged, as Clinton has done, that her using the private server was not a good idea, in part after revelations that roughly 2,000 of the emails included classified information.
“There’s carelessness in terms of managing emails, that she has owned, and she recognizes,” Obama told Fox News' Chris Wallace, in his first interview with the cable network since 2008.
Obama defended efforts to stop the growing international terror threat and his response to terrorists.
“My No. 1 job is to protect the American people,” Obama said in the interview, taped Friday at the Unversity of Chicago Law School, where he was a professor. “My No. 1 priority right now is defeating ISIL (the Islamic State.) … I’m the guy who calls the families, or meets with them, or hugs them, or tries to comfort a mom, or a dad, or a husband, or a kid, after a terrorist attack. So let’s be very clear about how much I prioritize this: This is my No. 1 job.”
Obama also defended his actions after several deadly attacks, including playing a round of golf after American James Foley was beheaded and going to a baseball game in Cuba after the Brussels terror bombings last month, for which the Islamic State has claimed responsibility.
“In the wake of terrorist attacks, it has been my view consistently that the job of the terrorists, in their minds, is to induce panic, induce fear, get societies to change who they are," he said. "And what I’ve tried to communicate is, 'You can’t change us. You can kill some of us, but we will hunt you down, and we will get you.'
“And in the meantime, just as we did in Boston, after the marathon bombing, we’re going to go to a ballgame. And do all the other things that make our life worthwhile. … That’s the message of resilience. That we don’t panic, that we don’t fear, we will hunt you down and we will get you.”
The president also dug in on his position that the GOP-controlled Senate should vote on whether to confirm his nomination to the Supreme Court, Merrick Garland.
He argued lawmakers have a constitutional responsibility and suggested that Garland would pass the confirmation process.
“I think that if they go through the process, they won’t have a rationale to defeat him,” Obama said.
The president nevertheless acknowledged that congressional Republicans are in a tough election-year position, considering he’s out of office in about nine months, with the possibility that the next president could be a Republican who will make his own nomination.
“I guarantee that there is no political influence in any investigation conducted by the Justice Department, or the FBI, not just in this case, but in any case,” Obama said.” “Nobody is above the law. How many times do I have to say it?”
His remarks came less than three months after White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest publicly downplayed a possible indictment for Clinton.
Obama praised Clinton’s tenure running the State Department from 2009 to 2013 and said he still doesn’t think the emails to and from her private server breached national security.
However, he acknowledged, as Clinton has done, that her using the private server was not a good idea, in part after revelations that roughly 2,000 of the emails included classified information.
“There’s carelessness in terms of managing emails, that she has owned, and she recognizes,” Obama told Fox News' Chris Wallace, in his first interview with the cable network since 2008.
Obama defended efforts to stop the growing international terror threat and his response to terrorists.
“My No. 1 job is to protect the American people,” Obama said in the interview, taped Friday at the Unversity of Chicago Law School, where he was a professor. “My No. 1 priority right now is defeating ISIL (the Islamic State.) … I’m the guy who calls the families, or meets with them, or hugs them, or tries to comfort a mom, or a dad, or a husband, or a kid, after a terrorist attack. So let’s be very clear about how much I prioritize this: This is my No. 1 job.”
Obama also defended his actions after several deadly attacks, including playing a round of golf after American James Foley was beheaded and going to a baseball game in Cuba after the Brussels terror bombings last month, for which the Islamic State has claimed responsibility.
“In the wake of terrorist attacks, it has been my view consistently that the job of the terrorists, in their minds, is to induce panic, induce fear, get societies to change who they are," he said. "And what I’ve tried to communicate is, 'You can’t change us. You can kill some of us, but we will hunt you down, and we will get you.'
“And in the meantime, just as we did in Boston, after the marathon bombing, we’re going to go to a ballgame. And do all the other things that make our life worthwhile. … That’s the message of resilience. That we don’t panic, that we don’t fear, we will hunt you down and we will get you.”
The president also dug in on his position that the GOP-controlled Senate should vote on whether to confirm his nomination to the Supreme Court, Merrick Garland.
He argued lawmakers have a constitutional responsibility and suggested that Garland would pass the confirmation process.
“I think that if they go through the process, they won’t have a rationale to defeat him,” Obama said.
The president nevertheless acknowledged that congressional Republicans are in a tough election-year position, considering he’s out of office in about nine months, with the possibility that the next president could be a Republican who will make his own nomination.
News Poll: Trump, Clinton rule Empire State
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have double-digit leads in the race for their party’s nominations in New York.
Trump’s advantage is widespread in the Republican contest. A new Fox News poll finds he leads among men, women, every age group, every income group, and among those with a college degree and those without.
Clinton’s the top choice among Democrats, as Bernie Sanders is only able to take the lead among younger voters and men.
First, the Republicans: Trump dominates with 54 percent support among likely GOP primary voters. John Kasich garners 22 percent and Ted Cruz is third with 15 percent.
CLICK TO READ THE POLL RESULTS
The poll, released Sunday, was conducted Monday through Thursday evenings. Cruz had a convincing 13-point win over Trump in the Wisconsin Republican primary Tuesday.
But the Empire State is a completely different world
-- especially for Cruz who cracked wise about “New York values” in
January.
“Very” conservative voters loved Cruz in the Badger State and gave him a primary season high of 65 percent support. In the Empire State, 61 percent of them prefer Trump. Just 19 percent of very conservatives go for Cruz.
There is a gender gap in Trump’s support -- although it only affects the magnitude of his lead. He’s the favorite among 59 percent of men vs. 49 percent of women.
Republican voters without a college degree are 13 points more likely than college grads to pick Trump.
Women are the key to Kasich’s second-place showing, as they are almost twice as likely to back him as Cruz (26-14 percent). The two receive roughly the same level of support among men.
"It's not just the statewide results that offer bad news for Cruz," says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News Poll along with Democratic pollster Chris Anderson. "Even outside of New York City and its suburbs, he's running way behind Trump and even a tad behind Kasich. That means Trump could sweep nearly all of the state's delegates."
There’s some room for movement before New York’s primary April 19, as nine percent of likely GOP primary voters are still undecided or say they plan to back a candidate other than one of the top three.
In addition, about one quarter say they might change their minds (23 percent).
Among Trump supporters, 83 percent feel certain they will vote for him, while 63 percent of Kasich backers say the same. (There are too few Cruz supporters to break out.)
Kasich supporters are more likely to pick Cruz (44 percent) as their second choice candidate than Trump (26 percent). And one quarter say “none of the above” (25 percent).
The Ohio governor is the second choice among Trump’s backers (40 percent) rather than Cruz (26 percent), while 28 percent refuse to name a second choice.
In the race for the Democratic nomination, Sanders is hoping to turn the momentum from his double-digit Wisconsin win into a home state victory in New York.
The trouble for Sanders is, Wisconsin is the kind of state he wins -- mostly white and independents could participate in the open primary. New York is a more diverse state, and has a closed primary -- and that’s to Clinton’s advantage. Plus, it’s been her home state more recently than Sanders.
The poll shows Clinton tops Sanders by 53-37 percent among NY likely Democratic primary voters. Another nine percent are uncommitted.
Clinton’s clearly the pick among women (61-30 percent) and non-whites (56-37 percent).
Men give the edge to Sanders by just 47-43 percent.
“Sanders has a lot of work to do if he’s going to make this race a close one,” says Anderson. “He’s currently losing among every demographic group with the exception of men and voters under age 45. Many more middle-age New Yorkers are going to have to feel the Bern for Sanders to have a chance of catching Clinton.”
Young voters are Sanders’ biggest backers. He’s up by 11 points among those under 45 (52-41 percent) -- and by 30 points among the under 35 crowd (63-33 percent).
The former NY senator holds a 27-point advantage among voters 45 and over (58-31 percent).
Among those living in a union household, Clinton’s up by 49-40 percent.
She also leads among Jewish voters (59-35 percent) as well as Catholics (53-34 percent).
Regionally, Clinton dominates Sanders in New York City (+19) and is even running slightly ahead beyond the city and its suburbs.
Both Clinton (85 percent) and Sanders supporters (79 percent) have a high degree of vote certainty.
Still, one in five Sanders backers says they could change their mind (20 percent).
Potential 2016 Matchups
In hypothetical matchups, both Sanders and Clinton trounce Trump among New York likely primary voters.
Trump trails Sanders by 19 points (54-35 percent) and Clinton by 16 (53-37 percent).
If it ends up being a Clinton-Trump ballot in the fall, over half of those backing Kasich say they would “seriously consider” voting for a third party candidate (45 percent) or not vote (9 percent).
Among those backing Sanders, just over one third says they would consider a third-party candidate (30 percent) or not vote (6 percent).
The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The telephone poll (landline and cellphone) was conducted April 4-7, 2016, with live interviewers among a random sample of 1,403 New York voters selected from a statewide voter file (plus or minus 2.5 percentage points). Results for the 801 likely Democratic primary voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points and for the 602 likely Republican primary voters it is plus or minus 4 points.
Trump’s advantage is widespread in the Republican contest. A new Fox News poll finds he leads among men, women, every age group, every income group, and among those with a college degree and those without.
Clinton’s the top choice among Democrats, as Bernie Sanders is only able to take the lead among younger voters and men.
First, the Republicans: Trump dominates with 54 percent support among likely GOP primary voters. John Kasich garners 22 percent and Ted Cruz is third with 15 percent.
CLICK TO READ THE POLL RESULTS
The poll, released Sunday, was conducted Monday through Thursday evenings. Cruz had a convincing 13-point win over Trump in the Wisconsin Republican primary Tuesday.
The latest headlines on the 2016 elections from the biggest name in politics. See Latest Coverage →
“Very” conservative voters loved Cruz in the Badger State and gave him a primary season high of 65 percent support. In the Empire State, 61 percent of them prefer Trump. Just 19 percent of very conservatives go for Cruz.
There is a gender gap in Trump’s support -- although it only affects the magnitude of his lead. He’s the favorite among 59 percent of men vs. 49 percent of women.
Republican voters without a college degree are 13 points more likely than college grads to pick Trump.
Women are the key to Kasich’s second-place showing, as they are almost twice as likely to back him as Cruz (26-14 percent). The two receive roughly the same level of support among men.
"It's not just the statewide results that offer bad news for Cruz," says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News Poll along with Democratic pollster Chris Anderson. "Even outside of New York City and its suburbs, he's running way behind Trump and even a tad behind Kasich. That means Trump could sweep nearly all of the state's delegates."
There’s some room for movement before New York’s primary April 19, as nine percent of likely GOP primary voters are still undecided or say they plan to back a candidate other than one of the top three.
In addition, about one quarter say they might change their minds (23 percent).
Among Trump supporters, 83 percent feel certain they will vote for him, while 63 percent of Kasich backers say the same. (There are too few Cruz supporters to break out.)
Kasich supporters are more likely to pick Cruz (44 percent) as their second choice candidate than Trump (26 percent). And one quarter say “none of the above” (25 percent).
The Ohio governor is the second choice among Trump’s backers (40 percent) rather than Cruz (26 percent), while 28 percent refuse to name a second choice.
In the race for the Democratic nomination, Sanders is hoping to turn the momentum from his double-digit Wisconsin win into a home state victory in New York.
The trouble for Sanders is, Wisconsin is the kind of state he wins -- mostly white and independents could participate in the open primary. New York is a more diverse state, and has a closed primary -- and that’s to Clinton’s advantage. Plus, it’s been her home state more recently than Sanders.
The poll shows Clinton tops Sanders by 53-37 percent among NY likely Democratic primary voters. Another nine percent are uncommitted.
Clinton’s clearly the pick among women (61-30 percent) and non-whites (56-37 percent).
Men give the edge to Sanders by just 47-43 percent.
“Sanders has a lot of work to do if he’s going to make this race a close one,” says Anderson. “He’s currently losing among every demographic group with the exception of men and voters under age 45. Many more middle-age New Yorkers are going to have to feel the Bern for Sanders to have a chance of catching Clinton.”
Young voters are Sanders’ biggest backers. He’s up by 11 points among those under 45 (52-41 percent) -- and by 30 points among the under 35 crowd (63-33 percent).
The former NY senator holds a 27-point advantage among voters 45 and over (58-31 percent).
Among those living in a union household, Clinton’s up by 49-40 percent.
She also leads among Jewish voters (59-35 percent) as well as Catholics (53-34 percent).
Regionally, Clinton dominates Sanders in New York City (+19) and is even running slightly ahead beyond the city and its suburbs.
Both Clinton (85 percent) and Sanders supporters (79 percent) have a high degree of vote certainty.
Still, one in five Sanders backers says they could change their mind (20 percent).
Potential 2016 Matchups
In hypothetical matchups, both Sanders and Clinton trounce Trump among New York likely primary voters.
Trump trails Sanders by 19 points (54-35 percent) and Clinton by 16 (53-37 percent).
If it ends up being a Clinton-Trump ballot in the fall, over half of those backing Kasich say they would “seriously consider” voting for a third party candidate (45 percent) or not vote (9 percent).
Among those backing Sanders, just over one third says they would consider a third-party candidate (30 percent) or not vote (6 percent).
The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The telephone poll (landline and cellphone) was conducted April 4-7, 2016, with live interviewers among a random sample of 1,403 New York voters selected from a statewide voter file (plus or minus 2.5 percentage points). Results for the 801 likely Democratic primary voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points and for the 602 likely Republican primary voters it is plus or minus 4 points.
Trump slams GOP nominating process as top aide accuses Cruz of 'gestapo tactics' to win delegates
Speaking to thousands packed in a frigid airport hangar in western New York, Trump argued anew that the person who wins the most votes in the primary process should automatically be the GOP nominee.
"What they're trying to do is subvert the movement with crooked shenanigans," Trump said. The real estate mogul compared himself to Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders, who is well behind Hillary Clinton in that party's delegate race despite a string of state wins.
"We should have won it a long time ago," Trump said. "But, you know, we keep losing where we're winning."
Trump was introduced at the rally by Buffalo real estate developer and 2010 New York gubernatorial candidate Carl Paladino, who said that talk of a brokered Republican convention "suggests that they can take that right away from the American people to choose their leader."
Manafort, a veteran GOP strategist who worked on White House campaigns for President Gerald Ford in 1976 and Kansas Sen. Bob Dole in 1996, told NBC's "Meet The Press" that the Cruz campaign was using a "scorched earth" approach in which "they don't care about the party. If they don't get what they want, they blow it up."
The latest headlines on the 2016 elections from the biggest name in politics. See Latest Coverage →
“You go to his county conventions and you see the gestapo tactics," he said.
Trump has a 743-to-545 delegate lead over the Texas senator, with the end of the primary/caucus season fast approaching. Over the weekend, Cruz completed his sweep of Colorado's 34 delegates by locking up the remaining 13 at the party's state convention in Colorado Springs. He already had collected 21 delegates and visited the state to try to pad his numbers there.
Polls show Trump holding a sizable lead in the next big state contest, New York's April 19 primary, but Cruz is trying to chip away at Trump's home-state advantage in conservative pockets of the Empire State.
Ohio Gov. John Kasich is third with 143 delegates, behind Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, who ended his campaign March 15 with 171 committed delegates.
Manafort insisted Sunday that he’s still connected enough to wrangle delegates.
"You would be surprised who's been calling me over the last week and where they're from," he said. "Do I know the 25-, 30-year-old delegates? No. Do I know the people who push buttons in a lot of these states? Yes."
However, Manafort made clear the Trump campaign won’t use strong-arm tactics.
“That’s not my style,” he told NBC. “That’s not Donald Trump’s style. That’s Ted Cruz’s style.”
Manafort also dismissed the notion that the Trump campaign has missed opportunities to get delegates through insider tactics and boasted that Cruz has and will continue to lose that way.
He said the Trump campaign has gotten all of the committee spots in Alabama and that it “wiped [Cruz] out" in a similar effort in Michigan.
“You’re going to see Ted Cruz get skunked in Nevada,” Manafort added.
Manafort made clear the race to get 1,237 delegates will likely extend until early June, which includes California’s GOP primary, with 172 delegates, and the New Jersey primary with 51 at stake.
“I’m confident there are several ways to get to 1,237,” he said.
Trump would need to win nearly 60 percent of all the remaining delegates to clinch the nomination before this summer's convention in Cleveland. So far, he's winning about 45 percent.
Manafort insisted being hired by the Trump campaign was not a shakeup, particularly amid Cruz’s come-from-behind win last week in Wisconsin.
He argued the campaign season is entering its end stages and that Trump must move from the free-wheeling, free-media style that made the first-time candidate the GOP presidential front-runner.
“Donald Trump has recognized that,” Manafort said, while arguing Trump still runs the campaign.
CIA director says agency will not use controversial interrogation techniques again
Who's The Boss? |
CIA Director John Brennan has said that his spy agency will not use
controversial interrogation techniques, such as waterboarding, even if
ordered to do so by a future president.
Brennan made the remarks in an interview with NBC News released Sunday.
"I will not agree to carry out some of these tactics and techniques I've heard bandied about because this institution needs to endure," he said. Brennan later added that he would "not agree to having any CIA officer carrying out waterboarding again."
President Barack Obama banned waterboarding shortly after taking office in 2009. However, Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump has repeatedly promised that he would revive the practice if elected.
At a Republican debate in New Hampshire this past February, Trump said he would "bring back a hell of a lot worse than waterboarding", an interrogation technique in which a detainee is made to feel that he is drowning.
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, Trump's greatest rival for the GOP nomination, said at that same debate that he would not make "widespread use" of the practice, but added that he did not believe the practice amounted to torture.
In December 2014, Democrats on the Senate Intelligence Committee released a report claiming the interrogation methods used by the CIA in the months after the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks were "brutal and far worse" than the agency had represented to lawmakers.
The report alleged that the agency had tortured several suspected Al Qaeda detainees held in secret facilities in Europe and Asia. CIA officials claimed at the time that the interrogation methods produced valuable and actionable intelligence, including information that led U.S. forces to the whereabouts of Usama bin Laden in 2011.
That assessment was echoed by Brennan himself in his response to the report, which read in part, "The intelligence gained from the program was critical to our understanding of Al Qaeda and continues to inform our counterterrorism efforts to this day."
However, during his confirmation hearings to be CIA director in February 2013, Brennan said the intelligence committee's report "raises serious questions about the information that I was given" about the effectiveness of enhanced interrogation techniques.
Brennan later added, "I do not know what the truth is."
Brennan made the remarks in an interview with NBC News released Sunday.
"I will not agree to carry out some of these tactics and techniques I've heard bandied about because this institution needs to endure," he said. Brennan later added that he would "not agree to having any CIA officer carrying out waterboarding again."
President Barack Obama banned waterboarding shortly after taking office in 2009. However, Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump has repeatedly promised that he would revive the practice if elected.
At a Republican debate in New Hampshire this past February, Trump said he would "bring back a hell of a lot worse than waterboarding", an interrogation technique in which a detainee is made to feel that he is drowning.
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, Trump's greatest rival for the GOP nomination, said at that same debate that he would not make "widespread use" of the practice, but added that he did not believe the practice amounted to torture.
In December 2014, Democrats on the Senate Intelligence Committee released a report claiming the interrogation methods used by the CIA in the months after the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks were "brutal and far worse" than the agency had represented to lawmakers.
The report alleged that the agency had tortured several suspected Al Qaeda detainees held in secret facilities in Europe and Asia. CIA officials claimed at the time that the interrogation methods produced valuable and actionable intelligence, including information that led U.S. forces to the whereabouts of Usama bin Laden in 2011.
That assessment was echoed by Brennan himself in his response to the report, which read in part, "The intelligence gained from the program was critical to our understanding of Al Qaeda and continues to inform our counterterrorism efforts to this day."
However, during his confirmation hearings to be CIA director in February 2013, Brennan said the intelligence committee's report "raises serious questions about the information that I was given" about the effectiveness of enhanced interrogation techniques.
Brennan later added, "I do not know what the truth is."
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