A popular line among Washington reporters is that covering the Trump
White House is like trying to drink water from a gushing fire hose. The
volume overwhelms the effort.
Recent days illustrate the point and underscore the
even greater difficulty of assessing the impact of Donald Trump’s
presidency. So much is happening so fast that it’s impossible to make
sense of what it all means for America.
Last week featured the president leading a televised discussion with bipartisan members of Congress on gun legislation, his market-rattling announcement on tariffs and reports about whether Trump will agree to an interview with special counsel Robert Mueller.
Those and other big-ticket items were mashed up with tweetstorms and
breathless reports about who on his team is up, who’s down and who’s
out.
For people outside Washington, the task of separating
the wheat from the chaff is made more difficult by extreme media bias.
Virtually everything Trump says and does is presented through the
darkest possible lens almost everywhere.
Consider how he was accused of being too bellicose in
reacting to North Korean threats to bomb the United States, then accused
by some of the same people of not being bellicose enough after Vladimir
Putin’s boasts about Russia’s nukes.
Then there’s CNN, which invited Bob Woodward and Carl
Bernstein to compare recent events to Richard Nixon’s final days.
Nothing subtle there.
Trump continues to take the ship of state into uncharted waters and that alone explains much of the hair-on-fire reaction.
From networks to newspapers, rumor and speculation are
dressed up as authoritative by citing “sources close to the president.”
This is compelling only if you forget how many times anonymous sources
were wrong.
Of course, the fever pitch is alive on both sides of
the street, with many Trump supporters still believing, as one said
recently, that “he can do no wrong.”
The love vs. hate for Trump reminds me of a cynic’s
view of the law of averages: If one foot is in ice water and the other
is in scalding water, your feet are, on average, comfortable!
None of this is to suggest there is nothing unique
about Donald Trump’s presidency. On the contrary, almost everything
about it is unique.
That’s precisely why it is so difficult to be certain
about the meaning of so many events. He continues to take the ship of
state into uncharted waters and that alone explains much of the
hair-on-fire reaction.
For example, Trump three times put on a public master class in presidential leadership. He did it with members of both parties on immigration several weeks ago, then at a meeting with governors and last week with members of Congress on gun control.
The president is supremely comfortable in front of the camera and those
sessions allow him to talk over the heads of the Washington media and
directly to people in their living rooms and offices, much as he did
during the campaign.
In all three cases, Trump showed himself knowledgeable
and flexible as he tried to find common ground on vexing subjects. Many
ardent Democrats especially were wowed by his eagerness to accuse fellow Republicans of being afraid of the NRA.
I believe Trump was wrong on that point, and that most
GOP supporters of gun rights believe the Second Amendment means what it
says, and that they are representing their constituents.
Still, there is no denying that Trump broke with his
party’s recent record by showing a willingness to meet Dems more than
half way on gun and immigration issues.
His CEO style at those events reflects one of the
initial hopes for a Trump presidency — that he could break the logjams
in Washington because he is not of Washington, and is not beholden to
anybody’s orthodoxy.
Yet it remains to be seen whether the approach will
yield results. Can Trump bring along enough Republicans, or will he
further divide the GOP?
And do Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi really want to
make deals on guns and immigration, or would they rather keep moving the
goal posts because they want to claim in the midterms that Trump can’t
govern?
All things considered, then, here is my current guide
to those who want to see Trump succeed but are perplexed by events: Keep
your eye on the big picture and begin each day with optimism because
betting against him has been a loser.
While no president in modern history has faced such
media assaults and entrenched opposition, including from some in the
FBI, Trump has work horse stamina and warrior determination to succeed.
His policies are mostly the right ones and his tax
changes and regulatory reforms will spur growth and create opportunities
for millions of Americans.
I also believe Democrats are more divided and in a deeper hole than they want to admit. Pelosi’s absurd characterization of tax cuts and bonuses for working families as “crumbs” will not be forgotten by voters and could help the GOP hold the House.
Yet I’m not without concern.
Trump’s habit of shooting himself in the foot — why does he diminish himself by attacking Alec Baldwin? — provokes the worry that some voters who like his policies will get tired of the personal pettiness and give up on him.
I also worry that feuds with some Republicans could
lead to policy defeats. And I fear that Trump’s habit of beating on his
aides in public — even when he’s right, as he is about Attorney General
Jeff Sessions — could cost him the services of John Kelly, his chief of staff.
While Kelly has not been mistake-free, he is the team’s
MVP because he provides a stable foundation on which Trump and his
administration can depend.
My conclusion: Unless Mueller produces clear evidence
of wrongdoing, Trump’s policies will produce enough progress that he
will finish this term strongly and have a good chance of winning again
in 2020.