Newly leaked emails show the political calculations
that went into Hillary Clinton's decision to back away from supporting
the controversial Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP), a trade deal aides
privately conceded she would "ultimately" support.
The deliberations were revealed in hacked emails
purportedly from Campaign Chairman John Podesta's account that WikiLeaks
has published.
In one March 25, 2015, message shortly before Clinton
entered the race, senior speechwriter Dan Schwerin sent senior staff,
including Podesta and communications director Jennifer Palmieri, a draft
letter on trade.
“This draft assumes that she's ultimately going to
support both TPA and TPP. It focuses on what needs to happen to produce a
positive result with TPP, and casts support for [Trade Promotion
Authority] as one of those steps,” he wrote.
At the time of the emails, Congress was preparing for
a heated debate on what's known as trade promotion authority (TPA),
which would give the White House power to fast-track deals like the TPP.
However, Clinton primary foe Bernie Sanders was an ardent opponent of
the Pacific nation trade pact, arguing it's bad for workers.
At the time, Clinton found herself in an awkward
spot, having been a past supporter, as some union figures spoke out
against the deal. In a
November 2012 speech in
Australia, Clinton infamously proclaimed that TPP “sets the gold
standard in trade agreements to open free, transparent, fair trade.” The
statement dogged Clinton throughout the primary campaign, and
Republican Donald Trump since has repeatedly used it in debates and on
the campaign trail.
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Clinton would eventually back off her support, saying in an
interview with PBS
in October 2015, "I am not in favor of what I have learned about it.
... I don’t believe it’s going to meet the high bar I have set." (
According to her current website, Clinton would “reject trade agreements, like the TPP, that don’t meet high standards.”)
In an email right before Clinton's reversal, Schwerin acknowledged the difficult line the campaign was trying to walk.
“This is indeed a hard balance to strike, since we
don’t want to invite mockery for being too enthusiastically opposed to a
deal she once championed, or overclaiming how bad it is, since it’s a
very close call on merits,” he wrote on Oct. 6, 2015.
This followed months of internal debate over the problems the TPP issue was causing with unions and voters.
In an April 13 email,
pollster John Anzalone advised against “making this decision in a
policy vacuum or just because we are concerned about a story of her
changing her mind or taking on Obama.”
He went on to note the political peril of “getting on
the wrong side of Labor on the only issue they care about has
ramifications on the ground” in early primary states.
“I say we suck it up and be as definitive as possible
from the beginning that we don’t like these deals. We will be right
with voters and right with labor. We get no integrity gold star for
staying pure on this issue because of one line if friggin [Hillary
Clinton’s book] Hard Choices or because this is a key issue for a lame
duck president,” he wrote.
Campaign Manager Robby Mook replied that “the boss won't be comfortable putting her foot down.”
Anzalone continued to press the political danger of
angering labor. He said he's concerned the issue is “eating us alive for
being on the wrong side and giving Progressives a real reason to try
and push someone more weighty into the primary.”
As late as June 2015, Clinton was making the case internally for TPP,
circulating a column
by former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers in The Washington Post
arguing that rejecting TPP would damage American leadership.
“Damning w[sic] faint praise but good arguments,” she
told senior foreign policy adviser Jake Sullivan. Podesta disagreed,
saying the deal ran counter to the concerns of average Americans, while
Sullivan stressed the importance to American power. In response, Clinton
said Sullivan’s arguments would work with “more sophisticated audiences
or interviews.”
The issue of TPP was the primary reason that the AFL-CIO executive committee
recommended in July 2015 to delay its endorsement of Clinton until she had moved closer to their position on trade issues.
The Trump campaign seized Thursday on the email
revelations, pointing to the March email acknowledging Clinton's
continued support as evidence she "lied."
"Today’s email release reveals what we already knew,
that Hillary Clinton supports TPP and TPA and she lied about it to the
American people at the debate," Trump spokesman Jason Miller said in a
statement.