WASHINGTON
(AP) — Abortion rights as well as protections for young immigrants and
LGBT people top an election-year agenda for the Supreme Court. Its
conservative majority will have ample opportunity to flex its muscle,
testing Chief Justice John Roberts’ attempts to keep the court clear of
Washington partisan politics.
Guns could be
part of a term with plenty of high-profile cases and at least the
prospect of the court’s involvement in issues revolving around the
possible impeachment of President Donald Trump and related disputes
between the White House and congressional Democrats.
The
court also could be front and center in the presidential campaign
itself, especially with health concerns surrounding 86-year-old Justice
Ruth Bader Ginsburg.
Its biggest decisions are likely to be handed down in late June, four months before the election.
If
last year was a time for the court to maintain a collective low profile
following Justice Brett Kavanaugh’s stormy confirmation, the new term
marks a return to the spotlight.
“The court
seemed to do everything it could to rise above the partisan rancor,”
said David Cole, the national legal director for the American Civil
Liberties Union. “This term, it’s going to be harder for the court.”
How
far the court is willing to go in any case that is likely to divide the
liberal and conservative justices probably will come down to Roberts.
He is essentially the court’s new swing justice, a conservative who is
closest to the court’s center. He also has spoken repeatedly against the
perception that the court is a political branch of government, much
like Congress and the White House.
Last
term, on the same day in late June, Roberts joined the conservatives in
ending federal court challenges to partisan electoral maps and sided
with the liberals to block the administration from adding a citizenship
question to the 2020 census.
The new term
might pose the sternest test yet of Roberts’ stewardship of the court.
Roberts also would preside over any Senate trial of Trump, if the House
impeaches the president.
The justices return
to the bench Monday with cases about whether states can abolish an
insanity defense for criminal defendants and allow non-unanimous juries
to convict defendants of some crimes.
The
next day, they will take up two cases about whether federal civil rights
law protects LGBT people from workplace discrimination. They are the
first rights cases since the retirement of Justice Anthony Kennedy, who
provided the fifth vote for and wrote the court’s major gay rights
decisions.
With
Kavanaugh in Kennedy’s place and Trump’s other appointee, Justice Neil
Gorsuch, also on the bench, the outcome is far from certain. The Trump
administration also has reversed the Obama administration’s view that
LGBT people are covered by the Title 7 provision of the 1964 Civil
Rights Act that prohibits workplace discrimination on the basis of sex.
“It
would be huge for the LGBT community to have protection in the private
sector from employment discrimination,” said Paul Smith, a veteran
Supreme Court litigator who has argued past gay rights cases.
Legislation
is pending in Congress that would remove any doubt about Title 7′s
application in cases of sexual orientation and gender identity, but is
unlikely to pass the Republican-controlled Senate.
In
November, the justices will hear arguments over the Trump
administration’s plan to end the Obama-era program that has protected
roughly 700,000 young immigrants from deportation and provided them with
permits to work in the United States legally.
Lower courts have so far blocked the administration from ending the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program.
As
in the LGBT rights cases, the court fight over DACA could be made
irrelevant by congressional action authorizing the program. But Congress
seems unlikely to do anything before the court rules.
The
abortion case probably will be argued during the winter and is another
test of whether the change in the court’s composition will result in a
different outcome. The Louisiana law that forces abortion providers to
have admitting privileges at local hospitals is virtually the same as a
Texas law the court struck down in 2016, when Kennedy joined the liberal
justices to form a majority.
Roberts
dissented in 2016, but he voted with the liberals in February to block
the Louisiana law, at least temporarily. It was a rare vote against an
abortion restriction that could point up the tension between Roberts’
legal views on abortion and his institutional interests in upholding
even prior decisions with which he disagrees.
Apart
from its lineup of big cases, the court itself could be an issue in the
unfolding presidential campaign. Some Democrats and liberals are
talking about structural changes to increase the size of the court or
limit the terms of future justices.
The 2016
campaign played out amid a Supreme Court vacancy following Justice
Antonin Scalia’s death in February. While Senate Republicans blocked any
consideration of President Barack Obama’s nomination of Judge Merrick
Garland, Trump released a list of potential nominees and about
one-quarter of Trump voters said the Supreme Court was the most
important factor in their vote for him.
Senate
Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., has said Republicans would
confirm a Trump nominee to the Supreme Court, even if a vacancy arose
during 2020.
Election-year retirements are
very unusual, and the two oldest justices, Ginsburg and 81-year-old
Stephen Breyer, would not want to give Trump a third high court seat to
fill. Both were appointed by President Bill Clinton, a Democrat.
But
Ginsburg has had two bouts with cancer in less than a year, including
radiation treatment in August for a tumor on her pancreas. She has kept
up a steady stream of public appearances to signal that she is still
here. The events, she said, energize her. “When I am active, I am much
better than when I am just lying about feeling sorry for myself,” she
said at an appearance in New York.
She’s
hardly alone on the lecture circuit. Justice Sonia Sotomayor and Gorsuch
have been out trying to drum up sales for their new books. Even the
newest justice, Kavanaugh, will raise his profile somewhat. He is
scheduled to be the principal speaker at the Federalist Society’s
November dinner in front of more than 2,000 people.
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