A daring Israeli commando raid deep into Bashar Assad's Syria
in early September not only destroyed an Iranian factory producing
missiles for Hezbollah to shoot into Israel, it may have been a test of a
concept that puts all of Iran's nuclear facilities at risk.
On the night of September 8-9, a 120-man unit of elite Israeli Air
Force Shaldag commandos in CH-53 attacked the underground factory in the
Masyaf area of Syria, west of Hama, using a combination of landing and
fast roping.
The site lies
more than 125 miles north of the Israeli border and some 30 miles from
Syria’s western coastline. The CH-53s flew in from the Mediterranean to
evade Syria's air defense system; as the CH-53 has a range of about 430
miles, aerial refueling was required. The video is a 3-D model of the
target site and gives perspective to the scope of the mission and the
difficulties accomplishing it.Because the last Iranian missile
factory in Syria was smashed flat by an Israeli airstrike in 2017, the
Iranians built this one to be bombproof.
The
destruction of that site, as well as other IDF strikes in Syria
targeting weapon shipments to Hezbollah, led Iran to rethink its
strategy, according to the military, and to establish a new underground
facility that would be safe from Israeli strikes.
The site that
Iran constructed was 70-130 meters (230-430 foot) underground and thus
virtually impossible to destroy from the air.
Iranian digging into
the mountain at the research center began in late 2017. The IDF said it
had intelligence on the facility from the moment construction began.
...
The
facility was built in the shape of a horseshoe, with one entrance on
the side of the mountain for raw materials and an exit nearby for the
completed missiles. A third entrance adjacent to those two was used for
logistics and to reach offices inside the facility. The office section
also connected to the manufacturing section inside.
Along the
horseshoe were at least 16 rooms housing the production line for the
missiles, from planetary mixers for the rocket fuel to missile body
construction and paint rooms.
The facility was not yet completely
active when Israel launched its operation against it, but according to
the military, it was at the final stages of being declared operational
by Iran. At least two missiles had been successfully manufactured as
part of testing, and rocket engines were already being mass produced.
The raid was reported at the time in Syrian opposition media and picked up by some Western outlets, but the details were only revealed this week.
Reports
of a Sunday night attack began to emerge earlier in the week, including
one by Syria TV, an opposition news site, which said that Israeli
forces landed by slipping down ropes from hovering helicopters.
Charles
Lister of the Middle East Institute think tank, who has closely
monitored developments at the site based on people in Syria and abroad
and local news reports, said the Israeli raid was directed at a factory
inside a mountain that develops missiles and rockets.
That
facility, he said, is controlled by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard
Corps, a U.S.-designated terrorist organization, and is part of a larger
military complex that is managed by Assad’s regime in Syria.
Israel
has accused Iran of using a scientific research center in military
sites near Masyaf to develop weapons and missiles intended for its
aligned regional militias, including Hezbollah, analysts say.
The Israelis also revealed a surprising level of tactics, techniques, and procedures that were either a blunder or calculated to send a message.
The
first of the CH-53 “Yasur” helicopters landed close to the entrance,
dropping off several Shaldag commandos, while another two choppers
simultaneously landed at another position in the area overlooking the
science center. The fourth helicopter waited behind for several minutes
before landing where the first one had, dropping off additional troops.
The
four helicopters then flew away to other positions in the area, where
they landed and waited for over two hours for the 100 commandos to carry
out their mission.
The 20 Unit 669 members, still on board the
choppers, were to spring into action if any of the commandos were
wounded. The plan was to treat any wounded soldiers, but not to leave
until the end of the mission. Therefore, Unit 669 brought along
additional medical equipment to act as a makeshift hospital in the event
of an injury.
At the facility, a first team of commandos began to
secure the area while a second team advanced toward the entrance,
killing two guards. Another team set up on a nearby hill, from which
they flew a small drone to observe the raid and eliminate anyone
approaching the facility.
...
One of the
central challenges of the mission was getting through the heavy duty
doors at the entrance to the underground site. According to officers who
participated in the planning and the mission itself, this was no easy
task.
At the mission’s 50-minute mark, the first team of commandos
managed to break through one of the entrances — the one used for
logistics and to reach the offices. The soldiers entered the site and
reached the two production entrances — the horseshoe — opening them
using forklifts that were inside the facility. The IDF had known in
advance that the facility had such equipment, and had sent some of the
commandos participating in the raid to get forklift certification.
At
the same time, another team of commandos carrying explosives arrived at
the entrances. The troops had brought a quad bike with them in one of
the choppers to enable them to quickly move to and through the facility
to plant the explosives.
Some 50 commandos then
moved along the facility’s production line, attaching bombs to all of
the equipment, and especially the three planetary mixers. The other 50
waited outside and continued to keep the area clear by scanning the area
and firing at threats.
At the same time, fighter jets continued
to pound the surrounding region to prevent dozens of people identified
on the ground — apparently Syrian soldiers — from approaching. In all,
49 munitions were used by IAF aircraft during the raid.
After the
commandos had rigged up all the explosives — around 300 kilograms’ (660
pounds’) worth — to a remote detonator planted at the entrance to the
site, all 100 evacuated to the initial landing site. The helicopters
flew in from their waiting positions, picking up the soldiers after two
and a half hours on the ground.
So why the big media rollout on a raid that happened three months
ago? I think the first reason is to impress the locals with Israeli
military capabilities. This media event, in addition to the happenings
on the ground, goes a long way toward undoing any damage to the
psychological dominance Israel has established over its enemies since
1948 by the October 7, 2023 massacre of Israeli civilians. The second
reason is to send a message to the Iranians that you can't dig a
facility deep enough to get away from the IDF if they want you.
The
attack at Masyaf looked a lot like a rehearsal for an attack on Iran's
nuclear facilities. In the aftermath of the rout of Assad's forces and
the fall of the Ba'athist regime, Israel carried out a punishing
campaign of air attacks on Syrian radar, fighter bases, and air defense
sites. So much so that it is fair to say that Syria is incapable of
knowing who is using its airspace, much less contesting that usage; see Israel Bombs Syria's Military Capability and Infrastructure Flat to Send a Message to Iran.
While
Operation EAGLE CLAW, the attempted rescue of US hostages held by Iran
in April 1980, was a humiliation of American arms, the same basic plan
is imminently viable to take out Iran's nuclear weapons research and
production facilities. The destruction of Syrian air defenses and early
warning systems means a relatively large Israeli force could seize a
foothold within helicopter range of the target area and, under the cover
of airstrikes, penetrate Iranian nuclear facilities and destroy them.
And we can never ignore that third possible reason. Given the obvious
inferences from the Masyaf raid, the Iranians may very well react by
reinforcing their nuclear facilities and, in the process, reveal nuclear
sites that were previously unknown.
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