Former Obama Advisor Warns Dems Why They Are Going to Lose in 2028 Without Big Changes, and It Gets Worse

Democrats won some of the elections in 2025. 

Going into the midterms, remember that off-year elections also generally favor the party out of power. 

But former Obama advisor David Plouffe warned in an op-ed in The New York Times that, despite those facts, Democrats were going to be in big trouble going forward unless they change their ways because of how the electoral map is changing.

 "Democrats Will Lose in 2028 Unless They Change Course Now” was the title of his piece. However, it was actually worse than that because he is talking about beyond 2028. 

Right now, Democrats have no credible path to sustained control of the Senate and the White House. After the adjustments to the Electoral College map that look likely to come with the next census, the Democratic presidential nominee could win all states won by Kamala Harris plus the blue wall of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still fall short of the 270 electoral votes needed to win. An already unforgiving map gets more so, equally so in the Senate.

What is he talking about here? He's talking about the shifting in the electoral map and big apportionment changes after the 2030 census. We're already seeing a jump on that thought with the redistricting battles. 

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READ MORE: This Breakdown Shows Just How Catastrophic the Redistricting Battle Could Be for Dems

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Because of the outflow of people from places like California and New York, the Democrats would lose seats, while even more would go to the South, with places like Florida and Texas gaining more seats and electors. So it's going to become even harder for the Dems to find a presidential path. This may be why they're fighting to hold onto illegal aliens so hard. 

So what are Plouffe's answers to this? They include tossing out the leaders they have now, and concentrating on affordability. On both of those, he's right. 

The Democrats' problem is that their policies are a failure when it comes to the economy, and everything else has just been either "hate Trump" or extreme positions, such as on transgender issues. 

The Republicans have much better policies and can point out what they are doing regarding the economy versus the mess that Biden/Harris left us. But they have put that message out there, and they have to show a more steady momentum in Congress on Trump's agenda. There's a reason people are fleeing those blue states to red states, and the Republicans have to drive that message home. They have to be the ones talking about the economy because they have the better positions.  

Moreover, it doesn't sound like Democrats are listening to what he's saying. Democratic Rep. Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (FL-23), the former DNC head, said she didn't agree with him in a Friday appearance on CNN, pointing to the races they won in 2025 and saying they were focused under House Minority Leader, Democrat Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (NY-8). So she's not seeing that so many of their people want the old leadership out. 

Given the warnings people like Jeffries have given about how the party would go after people if they got back in power, we should do all we can to make Plouffe's warning a reality and block the Democrats out for the foreseeable future.