We Know Why Dems Are Freaking Out About This Election Integrity Stuff
We'll hear a lot about voter
ID laws, but the effort to pass them will largely depend on the
Republicans. John Thune, bring the SAVE Act to a vote. I'm not concerned
about the 60-vote requirement or the Democratic Senate leaders'
posturing—let them be forced to endorse something that enjoys 70-80%
public support. Even black voters back voter ID laws, which undermines
the false narrative of Jim Crow 2.0. Let them overreach, because they
probably will. Currently, the Democratic leadership's strategy and
judgment are truly poor.
The debate concerning election integrity has persisted over time;
however, the core arguments and underlying motives remain unchanged. The
objective is to ensure secure elections in which only American citizens
can vote, whereas some allege that Democrats seek to perpetuate
electoral misconduct. Additionally, with President Trump removing
illegal immigrants from the country, desperation appears to be emerging.
For generations, Democrats have stayed relevant by permitting
illegal immigrants into the country, housing them in Democratic
strongholds, recruiting similar ethnic groups for elections, and using
the census to redraw congressional districts. This is why they strongly
support amnesty, prefer an open border, and oppose any efforts to reduce
immigration.
They know what lies ahead: the 2030 census could
end the Democrats’ reported advantage in the Electoral College. The blue
wall will be rendered irrelevant, as a new red wall could emerge in
Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona. That development, plus new laws to
ensure voter integrity would ceertainly kneecap Democrats in elections
(via Decision Desk):
GOP would win 274-264, whereas right now this map would produce a Dem Electoral College win of 276-262
These
shifts in electoral votes would take away the Democrats’ most common
path to victory in recent years: the fabled “Blue Wall” battleground
states across the Frost Belt. Democrats have long had a path to 270
electoral votes if they carried blue-leaning states and the swing states
of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Trump narrowly carried all of
those states in 2024, but had Harris won them (on top of the states she
did carry), she would have garnered exactly the 270 electoral votes
needed to win. However, the projected electoral vote change would have
made it so that Harris only reached 258 electoral votes.
As a
result, Pennsylvania, which Trump carried by 1.7 percentage points,
would no longer have been the “tipping-point” state in the 2024
election. That is, if you lined up all the states (and congressional
district-level results in Maine and Nebraska) from most Republican to
most Democratic by margin, Pennsylvania delivered the 270th electoral
vote to whomever won it. Yet these apportionment projections would move
the tipping-point state farther to the right, making Georgia (Trump
+2.1) the decisive state based on the 2024 results.
In a way,
these trends only make it more necessary for Democrats to compete in the
states that they narrowly won in 2020. With the Blue Wall’s reduced
clout, Democrats would likely have to more consistently win Arizona and
Georgia to get to 270, or also flip North Carolina, which has often been
a “close, but no cigar” state for Democrats. But given the shifts in
recent elections, the necessity of competing in those places is not
really a huge change for Democrats. After all, Democrats lost the Blue
Wall states in 2016 and 2024, and Trump’s margin of victory in Georgia
and North Carolina in the latter was not that different from his edge in
Pennsylvania.
On the other side of the aisle, Republicans are in
line to gain significant ground in red-leaning places like Texas and
Florida, as well as make small gains in solidly red states like Idaho
and Utah. This contrasts with the sizable projected Democratic losses in
California and New York, two of that party’s largest safe states. As
long as the GOP retains the upper hand in Texas and Florida, they will
not need to carry quite as many highly-competitive states as Democrats
to win presidential races. In 2024, Democrats had to win three of the
seven main swing states — the three in the Blue Wall — to reach 270.
Under these projections, Republicans would only need the three
competitive but light-red states that we could call their Red Wall — the
Sun Belt trio of Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina — to reach 270.
(Nevada was the other state among the core seven swing states in
2020-24.)
However, while these projections could be deleterious
for Democrats, we should not overstate how determinative they will be in
future presidential elections. Even though our political situation is
quite polarized, we can expect shifts in the party coalitions and
changes in the electorate to alter the political status quo as we know
it. So, while the GOP stands to gain among the states it carried in 2024
and has tended to win in recent years, hypothetical Democratic gains in
Sun Belt states could quickly alter the political calculus. For
instance, if Texas became consistently competitive, the GOP would risk
the loss of the bedrock of the party’s Electoral College foundation.
And with Democrats cultishly devoted to woke authoritarian politics,
it’s likely they’ll continue to lose ground with normal voters, until
the blue-haired freaks, white wine-guzzling lunatic lefty women, and a
bunch of gays are all that’s left for Democrats to cobble together a
national messaging campaign.
That’s for sure a coalition destined to lose every election known to man.
🚨NEW: Enten *SOUNDS ALARM* over Dems' long-term political odds🚨
"The
biggest population growth this decade: All 5 of the states are states
that Trump won! ... But it's not just a red state boom. We’re looking at
what I would dare call a blue state depression." @DailyCallerpic.twitter.com/XidlrPHb97
CNN’s Scott Jennings once again took liberals to the cleaners on the Abrego Garcia case, the ‘Maryland man...
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