The federal agency that monitors hurricanes said Friday that Hurricane Dorian could have impacted Alabama, backing claims by President Trump that he was right to tweet a warning over the weekend about the storm affecting the state.
In
an unsigned statement, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) said that "information provided by NOAA and the
National Hurricane Center to President Trump and the wider public
demonstrated that tropical-storm-force winds from Hurricane Dorian could
impact Alabama." The advisories in question were dated from Wednesday, Aug. 28 to Monday, Sept. 2, the agency said.
The
statement points to a few graphics issued by the National Hurricane
Center to support Trump's claims. The maps show percentage possibility
of tropical storm force winds in the United States. Parts of Alabama
were covered, usually with 5 percent to 10 percent chances, between Aug.
27 and Sept. 3. Maps on Aug. 30 grew to cover far more of Alabama, but
for only 12 hours, and the highest percentage hit 20 percent to 30
percent before quickly shrinking back down.
The controversy began
Sunday morning when Trump tweeted that Florida, "South Carolina, North
Carolina, Georgia, and Alabama, will most likely be hit [much] harder
than anticipated" by Dorian. In response, the National Weather Service's
Birmingham office tweeted that Alabama “will NOT see any impacts from
Dorian.”
“We repeat, no impacts from Hurricane Dorian will be felt
across Alabama. The system will remain too far east," the office said
in response to Trump's comments.
But on Friday, NOAA said that the
NWS tweet "spoke in absolute terms that were inconsistent with
probabilities from the best forecast products available at the time."
The
statement from NOAA contrasts with comments the agency's spokesman,
Chris Vaccaro, made Sunday. "The current forecast path of Dorian does
not include Alabama," Vaccaro said at the time.
Dan Sobien,
president of the union representing weather service employees, tweeted
Friday, "Let me assure you the hard working employees of the NWS had
nothing to do with the utterly disgusting and disingenuous tweet sent
out by NOAA management tonight."
Other meteorologists also voiced
concerns about NOAA's actions Friday. University of Georgia meteorology
professor Marshall Shepherd, former president of the American
Meteorology Society, simply responded, "OMG."
"I am very
disappointed to see this statement come out from NOAA," Oklahoma
University meteorology professor Jason Furtado told The Associated
Press. "I am thankful for the folks at NWS Birmingham for their work in
keeping the citizens of Alabama informed and up to date on weather
hazards."
Furtado said NOAA's statement and the president's
Twitter "war on weather" are undermining confidence in meteorologists,
adding, "The job just got harder because of this issue."
Trump has
defended his comments repeatedly this week, insisting that the
information he gave Sunday was accurate. On Wednesday, the president
held up a map in the Oval Office showing the “cone of uncertainty” over
areas possibly affected by the storm. A part of Alabama appeared to be
circled in black marker.
The
media criticized the president over his claims, causing Trump to say
Thursday that the coverage was meant to “demean” him, adding, “What I
said was accurate!” He posted images of NOAA graphics that at one point
projected Dorian’s possible impact on Alabama.
On Thursday
afternoon, Trump invited Fox News into the Oval Office to emphasize his
point that forecasts for Dorian last week had Alabama in the warning
cone, providing a graphic from the National Hurricane Center and a
screenshot of a news report on NBC.
Fox News was also told that
Trump was shown a graphic prior to a briefing by the Federal Emergency
Management Agency (FEMA) last week that appeared to show an older
forecast track with Dorian going north through the Florida peninsula and
just grazing Alabama.
When asked why his Sunday morning tweet
mentioning Alabama came after the forecast track had moved much farther
east, the president seemed to agree that the forecast track had moved
but was adamant that at some point, Alabama had been at risk. He also
emphasized that on occasions in the past, forecast tracks have changed
dramatically.
Also
Thursday, the White House released a statement from Rear Adm. Peter
J. Brown, the president’s homeland security and counterterrorism
adviser, who said he briefed the president on Sunday about the storm,
including “possible storm impacts well outside the official forecast
cone.”
“The president’s comments were based on that morning’s
Hurricane Dorian briefing, which included the possibility of tropical
storm-force winds in southeastern Alabama,” Brown said.
On Friday,
Trump tweeted: “The Fake News Media was fixated on the fact that I
properly said, at the beginnings of Hurricane Dorian, that in addition
to Florida & other states, Alabama may also be grazed or hit. They
went Crazy, hoping against hope that I made a mistake (which I didn’t).
Check out maps.....”
He followed up hours later by tweeting: "Just as I said, Alabama was originally projected to be hit. The Fake News denies it!"
Fox News’ Brooke Singman, John Roberts and Alex Pappas contributed to this report, along with the Associated Press.